Learn the Tree bet system, a sports wagering method for growing a small bankroll. See how to split profits from a single bet to fund multiple subsequent wagers.

The Tree Bet Explained A Method for Compounding Your Wagers

Analyze the final market outcome first. Successful speculation on a cascading series of events requires you to calculate the probability of the final leg before committing capital to the initial proposition. For example, if the concluding event has an implied probability of 25%, and the preceding event leading to it has a 50% chance, your initial entry point must account for this combined 12.5% likelihood. Overlooking this backward calculation is a common source of financial loss.

A frequent error is treating each stage of the forking path as an independent occurrence. This is incorrect. The value of your position is directly tied to the performance of all preceding selections. A single failure at any node collapses the entire subsequent chain of possibilities. Therefore, your risk assessment must not be linear; it must be exponential, accounting for the cumulative failure points along your chosen path.

Select markets with low to moderate volatility for each stage of your multi-part wager. High-volatility events introduce excessive uncertainty, which destabilizes the probability calculations for the entire sequence. Your goal is to find a sequence of logically connected, predictable outcomes, not a collection of random coin flips. A proposition built on a foundation of stable, predictable segments has a mathematically higher chance of reaching its conclusion than one built on chaotic, unpredictable ones.

Mastering the Poker 3-Bet

For your standard re-raise sizing, use a 3x multiplier when in position and a 4x multiplier when out of position. If an opponent opens to 2.5 big blinds, your in-position re-raise should be 7.5 big blinds, while your out-of-position escalation should be 10 big blinds. This larger sizing out of position discourages calls and compensates for your post-flop disadvantage.

Construct your 3-betting ranges with a specific purpose. A polarized range, used against competent opponents, contains premium value hands (QQ+, AK) and bluffs with good blockers or equity (A5s, K9s). A linear range, effective against players who call too frequently, contains the top 8-10% of hands you are happy to play for a large pot (88+, ATs+, KJs+, AQo+).

Your willingness to make this play must be dictated by table position. From the blinds against a late-position open, your re-raising frequency should be at its highest, incorporating a wide mix of value and speculative hands like suited connectors. Conversely, when you are in early position facing a raise from another early position player, your re-raising range should be exceptionally tight, consisting almost exclusively of AA, KK, and sometimes QQ/AKs.

Adjust your strategy based on opponent tendencies. Against a tight player with a low Fold to 3-Bet statistic (below 45%), you should re-raise a narrow, value-heavy selection of holdings. Against a loose player with a high Fold to 3-Bet (above 60%), you can profitably expand your bluffing frequency with hands like A4s, K6s, and even offsuit broadways. When facing an aggressive opponent who 4-bets often, tighten up completely and prepare to commit with your value range.

Constructing Your Pre-Flop 3-Betting Ranges by Position

Your 3-raising frequency must increase as your position gets closer to the button. A tight, value-centric approach from early position expands to a wide, polarized, or linear selection from the button, leveraging positional advantage.

Early Position (UTG, UTG+1)

From the first two positions, your re-raise strategy is exclusively value-oriented. You are raising against an opponent who has already shown strength by opening from an early position, and multiple players are left to act behind you. Your range should be narrow and strong to withstand multi-way pots or 4-raises. A standard selection is QQ+ and AK. Some players may add JJ and AQs, but this depends heavily on the specific opponent's tendencies. The re-raise frequency here is approximately 4-5%.

Middle Position (MP)

In middle position, your re-raising range begins to expand, particularly against opens from the Hijack or Cutoff. While still heavily weighted towards value, you can introduce a polarized approach. Your value re-raises include TT+, AQs+, and AKo. To balance this, you can add suited Ax hands like A5s-A2s. These hands have excellent blocker effects (reducing the chance your opponent has an Ace) and can make nut flushes. Some suited connectors like 87s or 76s can also be included against opponents who fold frequently to 3-raises.

The Cutoff (CO)

The Cutoff is a prime position to apply pressure on both the Button and the blinds. Here, you can implement either a linear or a polarized re-raise selection. A linear re-raise model includes a contiguous range of strong hands: 88+, ATs+, KJs+, T9s, AQo+. A polarized model would use JJ+ and AK for value, combined with hands like K9s, Q9s, J8s, and A5s-A2s to create balance. The choice depends on the Button player's skill; against a tough, aggressive opponent on the button, a polarized range is often superior.

The Button (BTN)

From the Button, you possess the most powerful pre-flop weapon: guaranteed post-flop position. Your 3-raising frequency should be at its highest here. Against a Cutoff open, a standard re-raise frequency is 12-16%. This includes value combinations like 77+, A9s+, KTs+, and AQo+. Your bluffing and semi-bluffing selection expands significantly to include all suited Ax, suited connectors like 98s through 54s, and suited gappers like T8s or 97s. You can also re-raise with offsuit broadways like KJo and QJo against opponents who over-fold.

The Blinds (SB and BB)

Re-raising from the blinds requires careful hand selection due to your guaranteed post-flop positional disadvantage.

From the Small Blind against a late position open, adopt a polarized 3-raise-or-fold mentality for most of your playable hands. Flat calling is generally a losing play. A value range could be 99+, ATs+, KJs+, AQo+. Your bluffs should have good blocker and playability properties: A5s-A2s, K9s, T8s, and even some offsuit aces like ATo.

The Big Blind’s strategy differs. The pot odds you receive make calling more attractive. Therefore, your 3-raising range can be more linear and value-heavy (e.g., 88+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+), as you will be defending with many speculative hands like suited connectors and gappers by just calling the initial raise.

Calculating Optimal 3-Bet Sizing for Value and Bluffs

For in-position (IP) 3-wagers, a standard inflation is 3 times the initial open-raise amount. If an opponent opens to 2.5 big blinds (BBs), your re-raise from the button should be to 7.5 BBs. Against a minimum raise to 2 BBs, increase the multiplier to 4x (8 BBs) to challenge their pot odds.

When out of position (OOP), increase your re-raise size to 3.5-4 times the original raiser's stake. This larger commitment compensates for your positional disadvantage post-flop. For an opponent's 2.5 BB raise, an appropriate 3-wager from the blinds is 10 BBs. This sizing discourages calls and protects your equity.

Adjust your sizing for players who have already called the initial raise. For each caller, add one additional unit of the original raise amount to your calculation. Example: A player opens to 3 BBs, and another calls. Your in-position re-raise should be (3 x 3 BBs) + 3 BBs = 12 BBs.

Employ a polarized strategy by using the exact same sizing for your premium value hands (e.g., QQ+, AK) and your semi-bluffs (e.g., suited connectors, Axs). This balanced approach makes your action unreadable, preventing opponents from deducing your hand strength based on the size of your investment.

Against opponents with a high fold-to-3-wager statistic (over 65%), you can use a slightly smaller sizing with your bluffs, such as 2.5x IP. This risks less to achieve the same result. Conversely, against opponents who call 3-wagers too frequently, inflate your value hand sizing to 4x IP or 5x OOP to maximize extraction from their weaker ranges.

With effective stacks of 40 BBs or less, reduce your 3-wager sizing to commit approximately 25-33% of your stack. A 9-10 BB re-raise over a 2.5 BB open is common. This sets up a simple all-in continuation on the flop. For stacks deeper than 150 BBs, slightly larger sizings can build a larger pot to leverage your positional or hand-strength advantage on later streets.

Developing a C-Betting Strategy for 3-Bet Pots

In position, apply a high-frequency, small-sized (25-33% pot) continuation play on dry, disconnected flops. On a board like A-8-3 rainbow, this action pressures a large part of your opponent's calling range that missed completely, for a minimal investment.

When out of position (OOP), your continuation play frequency should decrease. A more polarized approach is required. Structure your range for making a move around your strongest value hands and bluffs with significant equity.

Value Range OOP: Top pair top kicker, overpairs, sets.
Bluffing Range OOP: Nut flush draws, open-ended straight draws, combo draws. Hands like Ace-high with a backdoor flush draw are weaker candidates here than when in position.

Sizing Based on Board Texture

Your contribution size should directly correlate with the board's connectivity.

Small Sizing (25-33% Pot): Use on static, uncoordinated boards (K-7-2, Q-9-4 rainbow). This sizing targets hands with little to no equity and gets them to fold cheaply. It allows you to make a continuation play with a very wide range, including many hands with weak showdown value.
Large Sizing (50-75% Pot): Reserve for dynamic, wet boards (J-T-8, 9-8-6 with a flush draw). This move builds the pot with your premium holdings and puts maximum pressure on drawing hands. Your range for this action should be polarized, containing very strong hands and your best semi-bluffs.

Adjusting to Your Position

Positional advantage dictates the width of your continuation play range.

In Position (IP): You can profitably make a stab with nearly your entire range on favorable textures. Your opponent must act first on the turn, giving you informational superiority. A small probe IP often forces folds from marginal holdings and allows you to see the next card cheaply with your draws.
Out of Position (OOP): A defensive strategy is often superior. Checking with medium-strength hands (like top pair with a weak kicker or second pair) protects your checking range. This makes you less exploitable to aggressive floats and raises. When you do make a move from OOP, it should represent a more defined, stronger range.

Selecting Hands for a Bluff

Your bluffs should possess equity and playability on later streets. Avoid bluffing with complete air that has no chance of improving.

Prime Bluffing Candidates:
Hands with two overcards to the board (e.g., AK on T-5-4).
Gutshot straight draws (e.g., KQ on J-T-3).
Hands with backdoor flush and straight potential. These hands can pick up equity on the turn, allowing for a second barrel.

On middle-card connected boards (e.g., T-9-8), which heavily favor the pre-flop caller's range, significantly reduce your continuation play frequency. Your range advantage is at its lowest on these textures. https://primeslotscasino365.casino with a line of checking on the flop with a majority of your hands, including many overpairs like QQ-AA, to control the pot size and re-evaluate on the turn.